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Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Baez Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Alcaraz vs Baez analysis and find out who is favored!
Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Baez Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Alcaraz 1 - 0 Baez
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alcaraz has won 59.07% of points on their second serve, while Baez has won 53.49%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 59.25% of their opponent's second serve points, while Baez has won 52.49%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.07% and 35.09% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Alcaraz has saved 62.62% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Baez has saved 60.67% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Alcaraz has won 80% of matches played (W/L 56/ 14), with Baez winning 61.29% (W/L 38/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10). Baez has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 205/ 86), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 8% (W/L 1/ 12).
- Player level: In the last year, Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 20/ 6), where as Baez has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 67.5% of matches (W/L 27/ 13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Alcaraz winning 1 times and Baez being victorious 0 times. They have played 3 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 3 and Baez winning 0. The last match between Alcaraz and Baez was at the U.S. Open - New York, 30-08-2022, First, Hard with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 7-5 7-5 2-0 ret..
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:30:0.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Alcaraz and Baez have played a deciding set 0 times, with Alcaraz winning 0 times and Baez 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Alcaraz winning 0, and Baez 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 93.51 while Baez has played against players with an average rank of 157.21.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alcaraz has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Baez has won 54% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Alcaraz has converted 45.3% of breakpoint opportunities, and Baez has converted 44.64% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
3
Rank
1
High
21
Age
R
Plays
1
Total0
1
Hard0
0
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
20
Rank
19
High
23
Age
R
Plays
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
Form
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
79% (251-68)
Career Total W/L
65% (240-132)
81% (21-5)
YTD W/L
63% (22-13)
$19,160,640
Career Prize Money
$2,429,670
1
YTD Titles
2
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Carlos Alcaraz | Sebastian Baez |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 1 | 0 |
| Sets Won | 3 | 0 |
| Games Won | 16 | 10 |
| Aces (Total) | 1 | 1 |
| DFs (Total) | 6 | 2 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:30:0 | 2:30:0 |
| 1st Serve % | 62% (62/100) | 71% (60/84) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 68% (42/62) | 62% (37/60) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 53% (20/38) | 42% (10/24) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 38% (5/13) | 20% (2/10) |
| Return Points W% | 44% (37/84) | 38% (38/100) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (1/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (0/0) | 0% (1/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-5 7-5 2-0 ret. |
Stats 
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Sebastian Baez
62%
(
62 of
100)
1st Serve %
71%
(
60 of
84)
1
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
2
68%
(
42 of
62)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
37 of
60)
53%
(
20 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
10 of
24)
38%
(
5 of
13)
Break Points Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
38%
(
38 of
100)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
37 of
84)
99
Total Points Won
85
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Carlos Alcaraz | Sebastian Baez |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 81% (21/5) | 63% (22/13) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 78% (51/14) | 59% (55/38) |
| Games Win/Loss | 61% (359/232) | 53% (458/413) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 87% (13/2) | 38% (3/5) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 73% (8/3) | 70% (19/8) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| Aces Total | 75 | 78 |
| DFs per game | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| DFs Total | 41 | 58 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:44:50 | 1:57:43 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 133.38 | 172.09 |
| 1st Serve % | 67% (1124/1666) | 72% (1992/2766) |
| 1st Serve W% | 72% (808/1124) | 63% (1263/1992) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 58% (316/542) | 53% (414/774) |
| BPs Won% Total | 45% (100/222) | 45% (129/289) |
| Return Pts W% | 44% (824/1856) | 42% (1123/2693) |
| Slam W/L | 88% (7/1) | 60% (3/2) |
| Masters W/L | 86% (12/2) | 38% (3/5) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 50% (2/2) | 71% (15/6) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 82% (14/17) | 63% (19/30) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 88% (7/8) | 60% (3/5) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 64% (7/11) | 50% (5/10) |
| Deciding Set W% | 75% (3/4) | 50% (7/14) |
| 1st set W, W | 95% (20/19) | 77% (22/17) |
| 1st set W, L | 5% (20/1) | 23% (22/5) |
| 1st set L, W | 40% (5/2) | 38% (13/5) |
Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | 6-4 7-6(5) 6-3 | H2H | |||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jesper De Jong
70%
(
78 of
112)
1st Serve %
58%
(
72 of
124)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
7
64%
(
50 of
78)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
40 of
72)
50%
(
17 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
23 of
52)
44%
(
8 of
18)
Break Points Won
42%
(
5 of
12)
40%
(
45 of
112)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
61 of
124)
128
Total Points Won
108
|
6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jeff Wolf
70%
(
47 of
67)
1st Serve %
56%
(
37 of
66)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
70%
(
33 of
47)
1st Serve Won
46%
(
17 of
37)
65%
(
13 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
8 of
29)
64%
(
9 of
14)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
31%
(
21 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
62%
(
41 of
66)
87
Total Points Won
46
|
6-1 6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74%
(
64 of
86)
1st Serve %
70%
(
57 of
81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80%
(
51 of
64)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
71%
(
17 of
24)
23%
(
3 of
13)
Break Points Won
13%
(
1 of
8)
29%
(
25 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
30 of
81)
91
Total Points Won
76
|
4-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
63%
(
83 of
131)
1st Serve %
61%
(
63 of
103)
3
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
4
59%
(
49 of
83)
1st Serve Won
78%
(
49 of
63)
69%
(
33 of
48)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
17 of
40)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
37%
(
49 of
131)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
37 of
103)
119
Total Points Won
115
|
6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Thiago Seyboth Wild
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve %
54%
(
33 of
61)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
87%
(
27 of
31)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
22 of
33)
47%
(
7 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
9 of
28)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
26%
(
12 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
30 of
61)
64
Total Points Won
43
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Shevchenko
68%
(
26 of
38)
1st Serve %
58%
(
32 of
55)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
65%
(
17 of
26)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
15 of
32)
58%
(
7 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
22%
(
5 of
23)
64%
(
7 of
11)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
37%
(
14 of
38)
Rtn Points Won
64%
(
35 of
55)
59
Total Points Won
34
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63%
(
35 of
56)
1st Serve %
58%
(
34 of
59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
19 of
34)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
34%
(
19 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64%
(
35 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
40 of
59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
25 of
40)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
33%
(
18 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Gael Monfils
81%
(
38 of
47)
1st Serve %
64%
(
30 of
47)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
6
76%
(
29 of
38)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
44%
(
4 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
3 of
17)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
30%
(
14 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
24 of
47)
57
Total Points Won
37
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
Sebastian Baez Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Sebastian Ofner
Player
Sebastian Baez
61%
(
115 of
190)
1st Serve %
78%
(
130 of
166)
6
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
2
62%
(
71 of
115)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
79 of
130)
57%
(
43 of
75)
2nd Serve Won
64%
(
23 of
36)
43%
(
6 of
14)
Break Points Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
40%
(
76 of
190)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
64 of
166)
178
Total Points Won
178
|
3-6 3-6 6-4 7-5 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Sebastian Baez
Player
Gustavo Heide
75%
(
124 of
165)
1st Serve %
49%
(
68 of
138)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
63%
(
78 of
124)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
40 of
68)
49%
(
20 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
32 of
70)
64%
(
9 of
14)
Break Points Won
38%
(
6 of
16)
41%
(
67 of
165)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
66 of
138)
164
Total Points Won
139
|
4-6 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Casper Ruud
Player
Sebastian Baez
63%
(
50 of
79)
1st Serve %
80%
(
67 of
84)
3
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
68%
(
34 of
50)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
46 of
67)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
100%
(
3 of
3)
37%
(
29 of
79)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
32 of
84)
82
Total Points Won
81
|
6-3 3-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Sebastian Baez
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
81%
(
42 of
52)
1st Serve %
78%
(
38 of
49)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
69%
(
29 of
42)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
19 of
38)
60%
(
6 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
6)
33%
(
17 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
26 of
49)
61
Total Points Won
40
|
6-3 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Sebastian Baez
Player
Sumit Nagal
77%
(
55 of
71)
1st Serve %
73%
(
43 of
59)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
73%
(
40 of
55)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
30 of
43)
63%
(
10 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
63%
(
10 of
16)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
30%
(
21 of
71)
Rtn Points Won
32%
(
19 of
59)
69
Total Points Won
61
|
7-6(7) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Sebastian Baez
57%
(
58 of
102)
1st Serve %
72%
(
78 of
109)
17
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
84%
(
49 of
58)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
49 of
78)
41%
(
18 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
61%
(
19 of
31)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
34%
(
35 of
102)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
41 of
109)
108
Total Points Won
103
|
5-7 7-6(4) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Sebastian Baez
Player
Dusan Lajovic
78%
(
69 of
88)
1st Serve %
61%
(
51 of
83)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
57%
(
39 of
69)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
28 of
51)
47%
(
9 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
12 of
32)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
46%
(
6 of
13)
45%
(
40 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
43 of
83)
91
Total Points Won
80
|
7-6(3) 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Taylor Fritz
Player
Sebastian Baez
77%
(
34 of
44)
1st Serve %
79%
(
42 of
53)
11
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
85%
(
29 of
34)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
23 of
42)
70%
(
7 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
64%
(
7 of
11)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
18%
(
8 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
23 of
53)
59
Total Points Won
38
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Sebastian Baez
Player
Luca Van Assche
67%
(
72 of
108)
1st Serve %
72%
(
87 of
121)
3
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
4
67%
(
48 of
72)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
56 of
87)
56%
(
20 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
15 of
34)
33%
(
5 of
15)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
37%
(
40 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
50 of
121)
118
Total Points Won
111
|
6-4 6-7(2) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Sebastian Baez
55%
(
52 of
95)
1st Serve %
66%
(
83 of
125)
11
Aces
0
9
Double Faults
5
71%
(
37 of
52)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
46 of
83)
44%
(
19 of
43)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
21 of
42)
38%
(
6 of
16)
Break Points Won
83%
(
5 of
6)
41%
(
39 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
58 of
125)
114
Total Points Won
106
|
5-7 7-6(8) 6-2 | H2H | ||
view more
Alcaraz Vs Baez Prediction H2H Images To Share
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Carlos Alcaraz
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